The fantastic “Dubai plan”

27 11 2009

Also available as จินตนาการเพ้อเจ้อของ “ปฏิญญาดูไบ”

The People’s Alliance for Democracy (PAD) apparently concocted the so-called Finland Plan or Plot in 2006 to assist it in painting Thaksin Shinawatra and the Thai Rak Thai Party as republicans. This was important for the yellow-shirted PAD in portraying their battle with Thaksin as a fight for the king.

Now, courtesy of  Suriyasai Katasila, the PAD – or is it the New Politics Party? – has come up with another Thaksin plot, this time to overthrow the royalist government led by Abhisit Vejjajiva and the Democrat Party.

The Nation (25 November 2009: “Thaksin’s plan for civil chaos, and a coup : Suriyasai”) refers to an “alleged Dubai plot” to bring Thaksin back to power through violent action. Suriyasai, the secretary-general of the New Politics Party, says it is a “five-step plan” and calls it the “Dubai declaration.”

Doesn’t a “declaration” actually have to be declared to the public?

Apparently the Peua Thai Party and the Democratic Alliance Against Dictatorship are leaking to their bitter enemies as PAD. Suriyasai claims that red shirts flew to meet Thaksin in Dubai recently – couldn’t they have just gone to Cambodia? He says they came back with a 5-step plan that seeks “civil chaos” leading “to a military coup.”

Suriyasai said that the first step in this plan was about “alarm-clock mobs” that “would entail hundreds of thousands of red shirts amassing on specific dates.” According to the Suriyasai, the Peua Thai Party had been financed to “mobilise 10,000 to 20,000 people to divert police attention from a mass rally” that was said to be “waiting for a sign from their big boss to start the chaos.”

The second step would bring “pressure Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva to dissolve Parliament by simultaneously organising rallies to besiege several state agencies such as Government House, Parliament, Army Headquarters, Channel 11 and ASTV.”

Notice that ASTV is now a state agency! Probably just incompetence amongst copy-editors at The Nation.

This stage would also involve taxis blocking “major roads by parking them locked and in gear so they obstruct security agencies from sending in troops or police to keep security.” Suriyasai says that this would involve “traffic paralysis” and also a “vacuum of state power.”

It says a lot about “state power” if a traffic jam can create such a vacuum. Guess that means that there is a vacuum of state power on the last Friday of every month.

The plan’s third step “was to stir up civil chaos if the PM does not dissolve Parliament. To achieve this, they planned to set off bombs, assassinate important figures, notably 300 people an “enemy list” of Thaksin … such such as leaders of the People’s Alliance for Democracy, members of the Assets Examination Committee, Anti-Corruption Commissioners, Constitution Court judges, academics, some politicians and members of the media.”

The fourth step sounds like it is from a script of a movie that would need to star Jason Statham because it involves not simply “ousting the government”  but seizing “Thaksin’s Bt76 billion in assets currently ‘frozen’ in Thai banks and toppling the bureaucratic polity.”

Suriyasai says that this “was necessary … because Thaksin knew that changing government alone would not be not enough to bring him back to power – he had to clear all legal obstacles in his way.” The target is said to be “Privy Council chief Gen Prem Tinsulanonda … the symbol of bureaucratic polity that [Thaksin] must destroy both openly and secretly…”. Getting rid of Prem means that the military could be made to swap sides for “Thaksin’s ultimate goal under this step was pulling strings to instigate a military coup.” If he can’t get a coup, Thaksin “would continue to destabilise the country by creating confrontations, rallies and civil chaos…”.

The PAD/NPP spokesman says that the “fifth step was to form a national government. After a coup is staged, Thaksin, would take advice from Gen Chavalit Yongchaiyudh, and be ready to negotiate to form a national government and seek amnesty for him and his cohorts.”

It seems that Suriyasai managed to release this “plan” to the media at just the right time. The red shirts were about to rally in Bangkok, there were rumors of foreigners being involved in demonstrations, the red shirts were planning rallies at key intersections, alleged red shirts were “found” with weapons, there had been threats alleged against the prime minister and the government sounded like it was preparing for violence. Unfortunately for Suriyasai, the red shirts, apparently with the connivance of Thaksin, called off the rally.

Surayasai must be disappointed. Had there had been any violence during the red shirt rallies the “Dubai plan” might have taken on a life of its own, a bit like the Finland Plot. Maybe Suriyasai can resurrect it later? Of course, the more bizarre and fervent PAD supporters will love this stuff, for they believe all of the plots and allegations concocted by PAD leaders without a shred of evidence.


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28 11 2009
จินตนาการเพ้อเจ้อของ “ปฏิญญาดูไบ” « Liberal Thai

[…] 27, 2009 ที่มา – Political Prisoners in Thailand แปลและเรียบเรียง – แชพเตอร์ […]

3 12 2009
New: Plagiarizing plans « Political Prisoners in Thailand

[…] Plagiarizing plans Just a few days ago PPT posted about the People’s Alliance for Democracy-cum-New Politics Party spokesman Suriyasai […]

3 12 2009
New: Confused in government « Political Prisoners in Thailand

[…] evidence was provided for any of this and Suthep’s comments seemed close to those by PAD spokesman Suriyasai Katasila and the article in the Bangkok Post PPT posted about earlier […]

7 12 2009
New: Government, monarchy and politics « Political Prisoners in Thailand

[…] scheme by elements loyal to Thaksin to end the monarchy.” That’s the so-called Dubai Plan, promoted by PAD, with no evidence,  through the pro-yellow shirt […]

27 04 2010
Using the monarchy (again) « Political Prisoners in Thailand

[…] “plot” line is one that has been used before – think Finland plot and the Dubai plot in November 2009. How is this plot different to the Dubai plot? Why should anyone believe the […]

8 12 2020
Memes, communism, and a republic | Political Prisoners in Thailand

[…] For PPT, republicanism has been regularly mentioned in our posts from almost the time we began in early 2009. Often this was in the context of royalists and military-backed regimes accusing Thaksin Shinawatra of republicanism. This was a theme during the Abhisit Vejjajiva regime, with Suthep Thaugsuban often banging this drum. Back in February 2009, it was said that “Bangkok swirls with rumours of republican plots.” There was the Finland Plot and, later, the Dubai Plot. […]