Updated: La Thaïlande à la merci d’un «coup d’État aquatique»

27 10 2011

Update: available in Thai/ไทย here.

Le Figaro has a story on the “aquatic coup,” and a reader sent us this translation. No one at PPT is a fluent French speaker, so we are reliant on readers to correct any problems with the translation. Still, we think the gist of it is clear:

The head of the government is no longer obeyed. The country, submerged by the waters, could entrust her fate to the army.

In the monstrous floods that ravaged the country since July, the army could again determine the political course of the kingdom. Before the vagaries of Yingluck Shinawatra government response to the disaster, the opposition demanded the declaration of a state of emergency, which would give all authority to the Army. After the “virtuous coup” of 2006, supposed to deliver Thailand of a tyrannical and corrupt Prime Minister [Thaksin Shinawatra], then the “half-coup” of 2010 to maintain in power the Democrat Party of Abhisit Vejjajiva, an aquatic version of the coup is played out today. The opponents of the Prime Minister are using the flood – which has killed 350 people and paralyzed much of the economy – for political purposes. They prevent a coordinated response from the government and undermine its credibility, says the entourage of Yingluck Shinawatra.

If the government has been slow to take measures against the flood and left ministers to give conflicting information – when they were not missing the point – it must also contend with interference of Surayud Chulanont, an adviser of the king. The Prime Minister was almost obliged to follow advice by the palace, as grotesque as they are: about a thousand of boats went up the Chao Phraya River, which winds through Bangkok, hoping to push the water to the sea with their engines …

Waters interfere in Bangkok

Above all, the Yingluck government is struggling with the army and the governor of Bangkok that operate independently. “Listen only to me. I will tell you when to evacuate,” does not hesitate to repeat the Governor Sukhumband Paribatra, a pillar of the opposition. Thailand has refused U.S. aid Tuesday under pressure from the army, which does not want them to put them nose in them affairs. Finally, the head of government is not obeyed, “I gave the order to open the locks of Bangkok. I was told that it was done, but when we checked, it was far from being the case,” she explained recently to illustrate the difficulty of having control over all the flooding

Hypothesis recurrent

But the floods have also revived the battle that marks the divide between the country’s elite and the rural and urban poor who have recently elected the youngest of the Shinawatra clan. “They don’t do anymore neighborhoods in the Thai political arena [sic.]. The only goal is to eliminate the opponents, even at the expense of national interests,” says the political analyst Pavin Chachavalpongpun.

In a country that has experienced 18 coups – and dozens of others missed – in sixty years, the return of the military is a recurring event. Community radio stations of the “red shirts” knows it: they denounce already a “conspiracy of the elite” and a “dirty revenge against the ballot.”


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27 10 2011
Politicizing a national disaster « Political Prisoners in Thailand

[…] an earlier post of a Le Monde article on Thailand’s “water coup,” we saw suggestions of a broad political campaign. […]

28 10 2011
Politicizing a national disaster II « Political Prisoners in Thailand

[…] Prayuth seems back on political course, posing the monarchy-army alliance against Puea Thai. The watery coup idea holds water, so to […]




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