David Hutt at The Diplomat reckons that “a decent show from the youthful radicals at Move Forward next month ought to move the needle on debates around the monarchy.”
And it certainly looks like a “decent show” is on the cards. As Hutt says, “a significant number of Thais are soon expected to vote for a party that has remained open to supporting the abolitionist cause on lèse-majesté and made reform part of its manifesto…”.
He observes that “The ‘Abolish 112’ campaign … appears to be gaining ground. And it appears to be moving from the academy onto the streets, especially among those who joined the demonstrations that began in 2020.” And, we might also cheer Tantawan Tuatulanon and Orawan Phupong.
Of course, “the Constitutional Court ruled … that even calls for royal reform are seditious.” That perspective seems nicely forgotten as several parties talk about 112 reform, even if they remain cautious.
Hutt then moves on to think about how 112 might be reformed. But is reform sufficient? He suggests, and we agree, that “a goodly number of Thais … are moved by the idealistic stance, which is that the lèse-majesté law is wrong in itself. For the most part, they see reform as a dead-end path, so abolition is the only way.”
That stance raises other questions: “whether another human being, by happenchance of birth, is infallible and unquestionable, and why an institution purportedly so strong and adored needs to be defended on every occasion against the obscure Facebook post.”
Let’s hope the “idealists” can move this position forward.
Of course, if the same old fossils somehow scratch and finagle their way back to power but are stunned by Move Forward’s appeal, they are likely to return to their dinosaur agencies at the Election Commission and Constitutional Court and try to rid themselves of that party (as they did after the last election).
Update 1: Speaking of fossils and their stone age ideas, when 17 envoys from 13 European countries met with Bhum Jai Thai Party leader Anutin Charnvirakul, “he affirmed the party’s stance against amending Section 112, the lese majeste law, during a meeting with European Union (EU) ambassadors.” He stated that “Bhumjaithai would only have one condition when forming a post-election alliance — that it would not work with any parties seeking to revise the lese majeste law.”
Update 2: Thai Newsroom adds to the story of the EU visitors, reporting that the envoys:
inquired with the Bhumjaithai leader as to whether caretaker prime minister Prayut Chan-o-cha who is running to retain power under the Ruam Thai Sang Chart tickets could possibly enjoy “windfall” advantages, either before or after the May 14 election, only if his archrivals such as the Pheu Thai were dissolved by court.
Apparently the visit was prompted by “Anutin’s comment recently made to the extent that he ultimately disagrees with the dissolution of any party because, he said, it cannot practically stop politicians from pursuing their ideological interests under democratic rule.”