The regime’s mirror

7 05 2024

Self-crowned

It was recently coronation day for the country’s monarch, with events that were meant to promote royalism and the king. But it also featured its now quite odd royal family.

As the linked “report” had it, the king and queen, “marked the 2019 Royal Coronation Ceremony, accompanied by … Princess Sirivannavari…”.

Meanwhile, two of the king’s sisters, Sirindhorn and Chulabhorn “waited at Amarin Winitchai Throne Hall to welcome the King.”

This report was of one event, and other, lesser members of the extended but still small and always troubled royal family may have made appearances elsewhere, Even so, this report was revealing in its

An earlier photos of several members of the royal family. From: Love to Know

But there was a kind of weird backstory. Chulabhorn, usually seen in a wheelchair, was photographed erect, but the missing were also noticeable. Where was Ubolratana, the king’s eldest and quirkiest sister? More-or-less dead and never mentioned is Princess Bajrakitiyabha is a notable omission as the royal family’s undead. Why is she still being hooked up to a machine?

Then there’s Sineenat Wongvajirapakdi or Goy, the king’s official consort who disappeared a couple of years ago. Where was Prince Dipangkorn, the only male currently in line for the throne. His current competitor for the throne, calling himself a prince, but still officially not, is Vacharaesorn Vivacharawongse. He’s stalking around the country looking like a celebrated royal.

This quite odd family has some resonances with a new mini-series, The Regime, about a year within the palace of a crumbling authoritarian regime. Sure, it is about something other than a bunch of grasping, gasping royals, but for anyone who follows Thailand’s political travails there are many moments where a viewer recognizes Thailand’s royal family.





Killing kids III

3 04 2024

The Bangkok Post reports on the “first hearing in the sedition trial of two young activists accused of attempting to disrupt a royal motorcade…”. This refers to the entirely absurb charge of sedition arising from honking a horn while the motorcade ferrying a pampered royal sped through.

The first hearing in the ridiculous trial for what would be a laughable horn honking sedition charge took place is of Natthanon Chaimahabutra and Tantawan Tuatulanon was on 2 April 2024. Both are on hunger strikes.

Clipped from Prachatai

Natthanon “was brought to court from the Central Correctional Hospital despite his weak condition,” while  Tantawan, currently at Thammasat University Hospital “was deemed unable to attend the hearing.”

The police and the palace have said that no special arrangements are made for royal motorcades, but everyone knows this is buffalo manure. As the two charged with sedition have explained, “they were unaware that the police had set up barriers intended for a royal motorcade. They said they did not know who was in the motorcade and were not attempting to disrupt it, but were hurrying to attend a meeting.”

But royalists want to punish these two for their activism. Of course, they deny the charges.

They are held without bail. So far there have been “seven attempts were made by various people, including Ms Tantawan’s father, prominent academics and human rights activists to secure bail for the accused.” Seven times the royalist courts rejected the applications, “while approving police requests to keep the duo in detention as they were still gathering evidence.”

Everyone knows that this is just more buffalo manure.

The report states that “[p]rosecutors finally filed indictments on Monday, one day before the expiry of a 48-day deadline to do so.” They used all this time, probably on orders from higher up, to punish the activists and also because “[t]he accused can now be detained for the remainder of their trial, which could last for months, if the court continues to deny them bail.”

Related charges include “computer crimes, … causing a nuisance, and excessively loud use of a car horn under the Land Traffic Act. Mr Natthanon was also accused of insulting an official under Section 136 of the Criminal Code.”

All of this is risible “law” enforcement, amounting to lawfare.

According to Thai Lawyers for Human Rights, “prosecutors justified the sedition charge by saying that the behaviour and attitude of the two defendants was rebellious to the point of causing unrest or encouraging people to violate the law. It was not an act of honest criticism that would be protected under the Constitution…”.

This is utter nonsense.





Killing kids II

29 03 2024

About a week ago we posted on the fate of Tantawan Tuatulanon and Natthanon Chaimahabutra, two young people being punished by the establishment for their different views on the monarchy.

The establishment is holding them in prison and now in hospitals, for sedition: the act of honking a car horn as a vehicle transporting Princess Sirindhorn sped past. Yes, that constitutes sedition in royalist Thailand. It also gave the establishment its excuse to punish these kids. The idea is to send a message to the millions of Thais who now think differently: don’t express your difference!

Back on 20 March 2024, a royalist court decided to continue detaining Tantawan and Nutanon as the police claims they are still gathering evidence.

Of course, at the time this claim was patently ludicrous. They were arrested on 13 February, and police had been “investigating” from the time of the horn was honked on 4 February.

Prachatai reports that, yesterday, Tantawan’s father, Sommai Tuatulanon, again filed a bail request with the Criminal Court. He cited health: “their health has worsened due to their hunger strike.”

Tantawan and Natthanon both reportedly “have very low blood potassium levels, putting their lives in danger. Doctors have recommended that they receive treatment, but they have refused.”

A “cardiologist monitoring Tantawan, she has heart arrhythmia due to low potassium and magnesium level. The cardiologist has told her family that she could go into cardiac arrest.”

However, for a seventh time, “the court dismissed his request because there is no reason to change its existing order.” The royalist court and its bosses are bent on punishment.





Concern grows for Tawan and Frank

19 03 2024

Social media has been following the cases of Tantawan Tuatulanon or Tawan and Natthanon Chaimahabutra or Frank.As readers will know, they were arrested and jailed without bail for honking a car horn while Princess Sirindhorn’s motorcade sped past. That sounding of a horn led to lese majeste-like sedition chages.

Today, the social media posts have become more urgent.

One report is that Tawan’s heart could stop beating at any time. A doctor at the hospital reportedly said she could go into shock at any time.

Despite her grave condition, Tawan signed a document that she should not receive any water or nutrients if she lost consciousness.

Clipped from Prachatai

Doctors have said that she could easily lose consciousness. But Tawan has said she will continue refusing all but small sips of water.

She has apologized to her parents, saying she must do this, acknowledging that her parents have done their best, encouraging their children to stand up for justice.

Frank is at the Correctional Hospital. Doctors there have been treating him to relieve his suffering and have diagnosed an intestinal infection. Frank is refusing antibiotics. He is tired and exhausted and only takes sips of water.

When asked what message he would like to give to Tawan, Frank replied: “Whether there will be a chance to meet again in this life or not. We’ll meet each other in my thoughts every night, worried.”





Nonsensical judiciary

9 03 2024

Thai PBS reports that the now discredited royalist judges at the Criminal Court have all too predictably extended the detention of activists and monarchy reformists Tantawan Tuatulanon and Natthanon Chaimahabutra, until March 20. This will be the third detention period.

Ludicrously, these royalist judges decided that “further detention is necessary to allow the police to question additional witnesses.”

Tantawan Tuatulanon and Natthanon are charged with sedition for one of them honking a horn which “allegedly disrupted the motorcade of … Princess … Sirindhorn on an expressway…”.

Of course, they did not disrupt the motorcade. The case is a fit up because royalist fear these brave young reformers. Both are on hunger strikes and are in very poor health.





Days of 112 numbered (maybe)

4 10 2023

Prachatai, using data from Thai Lawyers for Human Rights, reports that the “denial of bail for Anon Nampa and Weeraphap Wongsaman has brought the number of people detained on a royal defamation charge in Thailand to 13. Of this number, 3 are detained following a final verdict or after a decision not to appeal, while 10 are detained pending trial or appeal.” It goes on to list the brief details of all of those TLHR know are detained.

Prachatai also reports that “33 student organisations and activists groups filed an open letter with the President of the Supreme Court today (3 October) to demand the release of political prisoners detained pending trial or appeal and to call for an end to the prosecution of citizens under the royal defamation law [Article 112].”

This group was able to name 25 detainees, although there may be more.

The demand for the release of political prisoners and an end to Article 112 charges is said to have been originally made by activist Sopon Surariddhidhamrong, who is currently detained pending an appeal made after he was sentenced to 3 years and 6 months in prison on lese majeste. Sopon “declared that he rejects the authority of the court, would withdraw his legal representation and would not participate in any additional legal proceedings against him.”

In this context, PPT came across an article by Will Jackson, who is a digital producer with the Australian Broadcasting Corporation’s Asia Pacific Newsroom. It begins by noting that “the conviction and sentencing of a human rights lawyer and activist [Arnon] last week under Thailand’s lese-majeste law — the first since the country’s new government took office — has left those pushing for reform of the law dismayed.”

In fact, Arnon was not the first, but the fourth to be convicted of lese majeste under the government led by Srettha Thavisin, which was sworn in on 5 September. The others were Phimchanok Jaihong, Weeraphap Wongsaman, and Thirawat Yotsing. Dismay over Article 112 can thus be multiplied.

In his article, Jackson cites academic Patrick Jory, who gets excited about Vacharaesorn Vivacharawongse’s short visit to Thailand and his comments on the 112 exhibition in New York. Jory reckons this shows that the former prince is “on the liberal side of Thai politics” and that he “would be an ideal candidate for the throne for the ‘pro-democracy forces’…”. Frankly, we are baffled by such statements, and they are a kind of a throwback to the language once used to describe Princess Sirindhorn when she was alleged to have been in competition with Vajiralongkorn for the top royal position. Nothing came of that, and Sirindhorn has not shown any liberal leanings. Her “qualification,” apart from blood, was that she was supposedly more intelligent than her brother and more affable. Neither “quality” seemed valued when succession eventuated. Further, we are bemused by the notion that anyone who is truly “pro-democracy” would want another king.

For the dismayed, Jackson points out that the Puea Thai-military parties coalition is likely to mean they can be even more glum: “the lese-majeste law did not even get a mention in new Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin’s policy statement delivered last month.” Thai Lawyers for Human Rights spokesperson Akarachai Chaimaneekarakate said “since late 2020, almost 2,000 people had been charged or prosecuted for criticising the government and monarchy, including at least 279 cases under the lese-majesty law.”

But then there is hope, so we quote in full:

Experts spoken to by the ABC are more upbeat about the long-term prospects of law reform.

Adam Simpson, a senior lecturer in international studies at the University of South Australia, said those who voted for Pheu Thai believing they would reform Section 112 would punish the party at the next election for their “rehabilitation” of the military-backed parties.

“MFP may well win the next election more comprehensively, particularly if [former MFP leader] Pita [Limjaroenrat] is back as leader by then,” he said.

“In any case, I think the days of Section 112 as it currently stands are numbered after the next election, if not before.

“It is already an archaic relic of an earlier period and the more it is used to prosecute criticism of the monarchy, the more it will push Thailand’s increasingly liberal electorate into the hands of the MFP.”

Dr Jory said the election had demonstrated a fundamental shift in Thai politics, with the progressive MFP winning 32 out of the 33 seats in the capital Bangkok — the main seat of economic and political power in Thailand — while also doing well in major centres like Phuket and Chiang Mai.

“The affluent, urbanised, better-educated regions, they’re all going Move Forward,” he said.

He said many of those in the middle and upper classes who used to be conservative “yellow shirts” had gone “orange”, the colour of the MFP.

“I’m quite optimistic in the medium to longer term.”

We tend to think the battle over 112 is likely to be much messier than these two academics think, but we are optimistic about further efforts to change. But what they miss is that there are scores and scores of 2020-21 activists still facing charges and that their cases will grind down optimism.

But we’d also be more optimistic than Jory about Move Forward. It was not just the “affluent, urbanised, better-educated regions” that voted for the party. Look at the party list result and look at the votes where Move Forward didn’t win but came close. That’s reason for optimism.

But, just to bring readers down again, we should recall that the establishment and its instruments are still likely to want to obliterate Move Forward using “legalities.”

 





More royalist tripe masquerading as law

20 09 2023

Monarchy remains a useful tool for anti-democrats and ultra-royalists in defeating and repressing political opponents. The 2023 election has not changed this one iota and the new regime is likely to be as royalist as the previous military/military-backed regime.

The Bangkok Post reports:

The Supreme Court has banned former Move Forward Party MP Pannika Wanich from politics for life in connection with a picture deemed disrespectful to the monarchy that she posted online 13 years ago.

From Thai PBS

The ruling on Wednesday said that Ms Pannika was guilty of a breach of ethical standards that a person with a political position should have, media reports quoted her lawyer Krissadang Nutcharat as saying.

While the court banned Ms Pannika from running in any election and holding any political position for life, it did not take away her right to vote because she was not proved to have rejected the constitutional monarchy.

Barron’s AFP report adds:

“The (Supreme) Court ruled that she has violated the ethical standards of a person who holds the political position,” Pannika’s lawyer Krissadang Nutcharat told AFP.

“The court has banned her from enrolling in politics for the rest of her life.”

Srisuwan Janya, a royalist activist and serial petitioner, filed the case with the National Anti-Corruption Commission in 2019 over Facebook posts published on Pannika’s personal account.

He alleged that photos — including an image taken at her 2010 graduation, where she was photographed pointing at former King Rama IX — were disrespectful to the monarchy.

Srisuwan claimed Pannika had breached the “ethical standards that a person with political position” must maintain to hold public office — which include respecting the monarchy.

The Supreme Court upheld his complaint on Wednesday.

Pannika is already banned for 10 years in another contrived case where the Future Forward Party was dissolved by the politicized Constitutional Court when the ruling class went after her, Thanathorn Juangroongruangkit and Piyabutr Saengkanokkul. These progressives strike fear in the hearts of the ruling class.

The case was yet another by the reprehensible Srisuwan. He or another royalist trawled Pannika’s social media to “discover” a post he reported to the National Anti Corruption Commission in June 2019.

The NACC dutifully agreed and ruled that Pannika had breached “ethical standards while serving as an MP because she failed to remove the material or block public access to it.”

The post in question was made in 2010 when Pannika was aged 22.

Subsequently the Supreme Court “ruled that Ms Pannika’s behaviour was an expression of disrespect for the monarchy that must be protected according to Section 6 of the Constitution and a related subsection on ethical standards.”

This is patently ludicrous, but in ultra-royalist circles like the Supreme Court bench, this makes no difference as they know that they need to punish her, again and again.

The court ruled that “Pannika’s posts showed her intention to refer inappropriately to King Rama IX and HRH Princess Maha Chakri Sirindhorn.” It added that by not deleting the post, “[e]ven after she was elected as an MP, she … showed her disrespect for the royal institution…”.

As far as we can tell, these are the “offending” pictures:

The ultra-royalists and their courts are a disgrace.





Further updated: The Thaksin deal

2 09 2023

On Wednesday:

Outgoing Deputy Prime Minister Wissanu Krea-ngam said on Wednesday he could neither confirm nor dismiss whether former prime minister Thaksin Shinawatra’s formal application for a royal pardon has been filed.

He could only confirm the application has yet to reach him, Mr Wissanu said in his capacity as caretaker justice minister.

On Thursday:

Credit: Khaosod

Outgoing Deputy Prime Minister Wissanu Krea-ngam, in his capacity as the acting justice minister, says he has received an application for a royal pardon for Thaksin Shinawatra.

Speaking to reporters at Government House on Thursday, Mr Wissanu declined to say whether the former prime minister or his family had written the application. He said only that the application was for a pardon for an individual, as opposed to being part of a number of royal pardons and sentence reductions normally granted to mark certain spacial days.

Under the law, prisoners can submit a pardon application that is passed from the justice minister through the prime minister to the Privy Council before going to His Majesty the King.

Officials have said the process takes one to two months, if all the paperwork is in order.

The current caretaker government has only a few days left…. But it would not take long to process the application, said Mr Wissanu.

Asked to elaborate, he said: “It is purely based on royal grace. The procedure from the government is not long, but it depends on the length of (the king’s) consideration.”

On Friday:

King Vajiralongkorn has granted a royal pardon to the former Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra, resulting in a reduction of his prison sentence to one year.

The announcement … states that King Vajiralongkorn granted the pardon to enable Thaksin to contribute his knowledge, expertise, and experience for the benefit of the nation, society, and the people.”

According to the announcement, the King made his decision based upon the pardon request submitted by Thaksin, which cited advanced age and health issues that require medical treatment from specialist doctors.

The request also stressed that during Thaksins tenure as a Prime Minister, he governed the country for the benefit of the nation and its citizens.It notes as well that Thaksin is loyal to the monarchy and that when legal proceedings were initiated, and the court issued the prison sentence, Thaksin respectfully accepted the sentence and expressed remorse.

The royal pardon was granted for sentences, cumulatively set at eight years in prison, from three cases that were handed down by the Supreme Courts Criminal Division for Holders of Political Positions….

With credit for 10 days already served, Thaksin was facing a sentence of 7 years, 11 months, and 20 days in the special Bangkok Remand Prison before the pardon was granted.

Gen Prayuth Chan-ocha, as prime minister, countersigned the official announcement.

If there was ever any doubt about a deal being done between palace officials, the old regime, and Thaksin, that doubt is swept aside by this swift and special treatment for Thaksin. This is the deal that effectively smashed the election and tells voters they do not matter. Thaksin returns to the ruling class to defeat the people.

Of course, Thaksin and Vajiralongkorn have had a long and sometimes troubled relationship. A quick tour of Wikileaks reveals some of this and much of the rumor and gossip about it, as does a scan of The King Never Smiles by Paul Handley.

Here’s some of what Handley had to say back in 2006:

Few Thais, most of whom had never lived under any king but Bhumibol, could imagine the next reign, whoever the monarch. But at least one person was planning for it, and he showed just how ready some people were to abuse the royal image, and at the same time how risk-laden the prince’s elevation might be. That was telecommunications tycoon and politician Thaksin Shinawatra. Thaksin had parlayed his multibillion-dollar fortune into building a large political party and capturing the premiership in January 2001. He also insinuated himself into military and palace politics, getting dangerously close to Prince Vajiralongkorn….

… Thaksin used his money to buy off the palace. Early in the 1990s, his generous donations reaped him entry into Queen Sirikit’s circle and closeness to Ubolrat, reportedly funding some of her daughter Ploypailin’s piano recitals. Rumors spread that he and Ubolrat were lovers. More calculatingly, Thaksin used his wealth to get close to the crown prince. At the end of the 1990s many well-informed Bangkokians talked of Thaksin having taken on many of the prince’s larger expenditures, including the refurbishment of the old palace of Rama VII, which the prince wanted to move into. Until then it had been entrusted to Princess Sirindhorn, but in giving it up to her brother she received instead the Srapathum Palace of Queen Sawang. That too was refurbished with Thaksin’s money, it was said.

Thaksin also bailed out the CPB while buying himself media control. The only independent television station was the all-news cable channel ITV. ITV’s biggest financier and a key shareholder was Siam Commercial Bank, and palace public relations adviser Piya Malakul’s Pacific Communications also had a significant shareholding. The other major shareholder was the decidedly non-royalist Nation media group. After the devaluation and economic crash, ITV became insolvent. The Nation group offered to take it over completely, assuming the debts. Instead, in 2000, Siam Commercial Bank insisted on selling to Thaksin…. With little likelihood of ever recovering the investment, Thaksin was effectively bailing out the bank and the palace.

For a taste of Wikileaks, see a series of cables from 2007, March, September, October, and November 2009, 2010, and 2011.

Update 1: We should have pointed out that the the royal pardon was published on Friday but signed on Thursday, adding more to the conviction that this deal really had been in the works for a long time. PPT’s suspicion is that ISOC and other regime intelligence determined that Move Forward was more of an electoral threat than Thaksin’s party and that the long-awaited, much negotiated deal was concluded to “save” the ruling class from progressive politics.

Update 2: A reader asks about how the Thaksin deal will sit with ultra-royalists. We guess there will be some who will never much have liked the incumbent king and have always worried about his links to Thaksin. We suppose their negative perspective will be reinforced. However, royalists are now somewhat hamstrung about negative responses as it is crystal clear that the deal had the king’s approval. Opposing a royal pardon, once given, is difficult political and ideological terrain.





111 lese majeste

25 04 2023

Clipped from Prachatai

Prachatai reports that Songpol “Yajai” Sonthirak, a Thalufah activist has been summoned by the police in Khon Kaen on a lese majeste complaint.

The complaint was filed with police by Kamon Kitkasiwat, the leader of a royalist vigilante group in Khon Kaen, who is also standing as an MP candidate for the mad royalist Thai Pakdee Party.

Thai Lawyers for Human Rights believe the “cause of the complaint against Songpol is probably because he flashed the three-finger … salute after receiving his degree certificate from Princess Sirindhorn, King Vajiralongkorn’s younger sister, during Khon Kaen University’s graduation ceremony on 20 December 2022.”

As far as PPT is aware, the rotund princess is not covered by Article 112: “Whoever defames, insults or threatens the King, the Queen, the Heir-apparent or the Regent, shall be punished with imprisonment of three to fifteen years.”

But what the law states in very clear words that has never really give police, prosecutors or judges much cause to follow the law. They all make stuff up.

According to Songpol, in a January 2023 interview, “his action was not planned, but he did it because he wanted to take the few seconds he had in front of the Princess to communicate his demands directly to someone in the royal family.” Prachatai adds:

Songpol said his demands were to remove then-Prime Minister Gen Prayut Chan-o-cha from office, amend the Constitution, and repeal the royal defamation law. He said he left the stage and went back to his seat afterwards, and did not see if or how the Princess or her guards reacted. Nevertheless, he was sure he did not cause problems as the graduation ceremony continued normally.

Songpol said:

“I believe that displaying the three-finger salute is not an offence, and I feel that doing this might lead to some changes more than (thinking about) the consequences. When I walked up [onto the stage], I felt that it was really my space. It was the people’s space where I can do this,” he said.

Songpol said that, after the end of the first half ceremony, a lecturer from the Faculty of Law came to ask him if he would be doing anything else and asked that he not take any action during the next half. He also said that after the ceremony ended, a lecturer and plainclothes officer spoke to his parents, who were waiting outside the auditorium, and made them sign a note acknowledging that his action was inappropriate.





Further updated: While we were away….

5 01 2023

It seems that a decaying regime and a largely tame mainstream media means that bizarre things happen and are reported as if they are “normal.” Likewise, some things – mostly to do with Article 112 are simply ignored. And then there’s the strangeness of The Family (the dysfunctional family that for many years has looked like something between The Addams Family and The Munsters but without much family togetherness or the good humor of those television families).

Obviously, the story that has been most difficult to comprehend is the death of Princess Bajrakitiyabha that the palace has not yet acknowledged. That story was scooped by Andrew MacGregor Marshall.

About three weeks ago the palace stated that, after a heart attack/aneurysm, her condition was “stable to a certain extent.” As the BBC added:

Medical bulletins from the royal palace in Thailand are typically vague and cryptic, and from the single statement issued about Princess Bajrakitiyabha, it is difficult to gauge how serious her condition is….

The statement says nothing about her state of health now. Some reports have suggested it is a lot more serious than stated.

Those reports stated that she was brain dead, being kept “alive” by machines. As the king’s favorite, her death is a personal blow, especially as she was only 44. It is not known why her death is not announced or even why there are no updates.

Meanwhile, millions of Thais are being regimented into “praying” for the princess’s miracle “recovery.” Uniformed Thais have led the “good wishes.”

Leaving aside the nutty stuff about what caused her demise, it does seem that succession has again become an issue. This seems to be based on assumptions that King Vajiralongkorn favored her. In fact, though, when succession was said to be in “crisis” a few years ago, it was Princess Sirindhorn who was the center of attention. Why she’s not in the mix now is not explained. Prince Dipangkorn is considered to have “health issues” (which royal doesn’t?) However, he’s now looking pampered, “handsome” to royalists, and must be a chance. But who knows?

A couple of points though. When there was last attention to a “succession crisis” and now, the one thing that has changed is that Bajrakitiyabha was the only full royal by blood. What hasn’t changed is that Dipangkorn is the only male (leaving aside the disowned lot in the USA). None of the royal princesses have male offspring and none of the female offspring seem intent on marriage and the production of offspring.

In the end, the dynasty seems to have reached its biological limits. Minor royals will be positioning themselves while more reasonable people would be looking to a republican future.

Update 1: A reader disputes that there are any “minor royals.” By “minor royals,” we mean those families that might claim royal blood from decades ago. There are still MRs and MCs around. Some of these have recently been seen in royal news undertaking royally-assigned tasks. The point is, as the reader acknowledges, in royalist Thailand, “anything is possible.” In that sense, some of the offspring in the USA might have royal thoughts.

Update 2: According to Prachatai, a new palace report has been released on Bajrakitiyabha. This time, the statement, released on 7 December, has it that “Princess Bajrakitiyabha collapsed due to severe cardiac arrhythmia relating to a mycoplasma infection. She is unconscious and is being given antibiotics, while her heart, lungs, and kidneys continue to be treated with medication and medical equipment.”